NZD/USD Price Forecast January 22, 2018, Technical Analysis
Looking at the short-term charts, I believe that the New Zealand dollar is going to continue to consolidate, giving us an opportunity to trade in both directions if we are nimble enough. I am using the one-hour chart and stochastic oscillator to trade this market right now, but I do recognize that the longer-term charts look a bit overextended. Because of that, we may need to pull back to build up the necessary pressure to go to the upside. If we break down below the 0.72 handle, I think at that point it’s likely that we are going to continue to go lower, to at least the 0.71 handle. I recognize that there is a significant amount of resistance just above, so I do not think that a breakout to the upside is likely. We may have to grind a bit to finally break out, so I think that it makes sense that you be very quick with your trade, and don’t hang onto anything for too long.
Your capital is at risk
Longer-term, the US dollar has been very soft, and I think it will continue to be. However, it’s gotten a bit ahead of itself so that’s why a look at the chart with a little bit of caution. Short-term back and forth trading probably makes the most sense, but I use the stochastic oscillator as a signal, looking for overbought or oversold crossovers, which is one of the most basic ways to trade.